GOES-16 IR Caribbean, updated every ~10 min (Image courtesy of NOAA - 2026-01-15 11:10 AM AST).
Daily Regional Weather Outlook
Last updated: 2026-01-14 22:25 AST
The atlantic high pressure system was dominant across the area tonight. Satellite imagery showed shallow patches of clouds moving across the area, as well as an abundance of high level clouds. Radar imagery indicate spotty showers moving across the region.
Based on latest model guidance, conditions across the islands will remain generally partly cloudy with periods of brief passing showers triggered by available moisture and some pockets of instability. This outlook is in general agreement with the latest issued forecast and no change is required at this time.
Forecaster: Patrice Edwards
Note: The above daily outlook is from the Antigua & Barbuda Met Office, based on analysis of tropical systems, ridges, and Saharan dust affecting the region.
NHC Regional Weather Summary
Issued for: 2026-01-15 8:15 AM AST
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0600 UTC.
Special Features
Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will enter the NW waters later this morning, reaching from near Bermuda to the SE Bahamas Fri morning, and extending from 31N59W to 25N70W Sat morning where it will stall and weaken. Widespread fresh to strong winds and rough seas will accompany the front through Fri. Winds are forecast to reach gale force ahead and behind the front N of 29N by this evening.
A reinforcing front may impact the basin late in the upcoming weekend, bringing strong to near gale force winds and rough seas.
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front extends from the Florida Big Bend to near Tampico, Mexico. The front is followed by fresh to near gale-force NW to N winds and rough seas per recent buoy and platform observations, and earlier ASCAT scatterometer data, along with building and rough seas. Frequent gusts to gale force are expected across the coastal waters of the NE Gulf, particularly between Apalachicola, FL and Mobile, AL through much of today.
Conditions will improve across the Gulf region Thu night into the weekend. A reinforcing surge of fresh to strong northerly winds may impact the basin late in the weekend, potentially developing northerly gale-force winds near Tampico and Veracruz on Sun.
Caribbean 12-hr wind forecast (Image courtesy of NOAA).
Atlantic Ocean
Please read the Special Features section about an upcoming Gale Warning.
A cold front extends from 31N73W to the Straits of Florida where it has stalled, with fresh to strong winds on either side N of 27N and W of 68W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are flaring up near this boundary. Fresh to strong winds are N of 27N and W of 68W, along with locally rough seas, mainly N of 30N.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the tropical Atlantic forecast region. Under the influence of this system, an area of fresh to strong NE winds is noted from 12N to 26N and E of 35W to the coast of W Africa, including near the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas of 7 to 10 ft are within these winds.
Moderate to locally fresh trades are observed across the tropical Atlantic with moderate to rough seas. Gentle to moderate winds and mainly moderate seas are elsewhere. An upper-level low in the central Atlantic near 23N38W is triggering some shower activity, while moist southerly flow in the wake of a warm front now well N of 31N supports additional shower activity N of 27N between 46W and 60W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a reinforcing front will move off Florida later this morning and merge with the leading front, reaching from near Bermuda to the SE Bahamas Fri morning, and extending from 31N59W to 25N70W Sat morning where it will stall and weaken. Widespread fresh to strong winds will accompany the front through Fri. Winds are forecast to reach gale force Thu night east of the front and N of 29N.
Another cold front may impact the basin late in the upcoming weekend.
NHC Forecaster: Lewitsky
Caribbean surface analysis (Image courtesy of NOAA).
12-hr wave height forecast (Image courtesy of NOAA).
Regional Satellite Animations
The satellite animations below (courtesy of NOAA) provide a near-real-time look at the tropical Atlantic (updated every 10 minutes). They offer wide-angle views spanning the West African coast to the Caribbean Sea, along with a more focused view of our region.
For a non-animated snapshot view updated every 10 minutes of the Eastern Caribbean, view the main satellite image at the top of this page and also the GeoColor satellite image on our home page to see clouds directly overhead.
To reduce data usage, each animation below loads as a still image. Click the images below to start the animation.
GOES‑19 Tropical Atlantic – Sandwich
GOES‑19 Tropical Atlantic – Geocolor
GOES‑19 Caribbean Sector – Geocolor
Caribbean Sea Surface Temperature – 30‑day Animation
GOES RGB Caribbean - Dust (opens in a new window)
Information on this page is updated according to the National Hurricane Center’s bulletin schedule. Satellite imagery refreshes approximately every 10 minutes. The Weather Summary for our Islands is updated at least daily, year‑round, and more frequently whenever new discussions are issued. The Tropical Weather Outlook section follows the NHC’s scheduled outlooks (four times daily from June 1 to November 30) and is checked daily during the off‑season for special updates.